Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.493671 0.565246 0.642686 0.732585 0.833961 0.944624 1.074459
2025-04-06 0.387729 0.485380 0.599760 0.743155 0.917613 1.122443 1.380592
2025-04-13 0.297817 0.405449 0.541212 0.723919 0.962117 1.260720 1.661808
2025-04-20 0.248013 0.364795 0.522428 0.748631 1.062359 1.479131 2.071109
2025-04-27 0.211130 0.333763 0.510015 0.778266 1.171796 1.722548 2.544753
2025-05-04 0.176825 0.299407 0.486370 0.787068 1.251811 1.934195 3.000303
2025-05-11 0.147865 0.267315 0.460041 0.786493 1.316131 2.129011 3.453046
2025-05-18 0.124746 0.240020 0.436173 0.784983 1.377033 2.323624 3.925549
2025-05-25 0.106847 0.218115 0.417205 0.787731 1.443599 2.532557 4.441209
2025-06-01 0.092912 0.200645 0.402783 0.795409 1.518108 2.760687 5.010086
2025-06-08 0.079548 0.181572 0.382109 0.788158 1.564338 2.944384 5.520908
2025-06-15 0.071341 0.171351 0.376471 0.807787 1.660871 3.224011 6.223924
2025-06-22 0.061363 0.155563 0.357623 0.799652 1.705520 3.417919 6.798965
2025-06-29 0.054612 0.145676 0.349390 0.811763 1.790973 3.695891 7.556249
2025-07-06 0.046386 0.130548 0.327290 0.791306 1.807987 3.845091 8.084972
2025-07-13 0.042560 0.125530 0.327059 0.818407 1.926932 4.204938 9.055320
2025-07-20 0.039457 0.121744 0.329070 0.850763 2.060789 4.607317 10.146488
2025-07-27 0.035452 0.114634 0.321838 0.860441 2.145597 4.916711 11.076582
2025-08-03 0.031459 0.106651 0.311050 0.859896 2.206927 5.182123 11.938710
2025-08-10 0.027941 0.099255 0.300502 0.858308 2.265374 5.446362 12.821052
2025-08-17 0.025048 0.093110 0.292251 0.861326 2.334962 5.741174 13.794456
2025-08-24 0.022688 0.088126 0.286368 0.869685 2.418457 6.074576 14.880789
2025-08-31 0.020085 0.081677 0.275133 0.861825 2.460148 6.315574 15.779704